Opportunity for a high open economy like Vietnam

VCN - According to economic expert Nguyen Bich Lam (photo), in 2024, our country's economy will have bright spots, with opportunities that not every country has to more effectively promote existing dynamics and create new driving forces for development.
Mr. Nguyen Bich Lam
Mr. Nguyen Bich Lam

The General Statistics Office has just announced the numbers on the socio-economic situation in the first quarter. How do you evaluate these numbers?

A prominent highlight, with important significance, improving capacity, creating a foundation for rapid and sustainable development of the economy in the first quarter of 2024 is the disbursement of public investment capital along with attraction and disbursement. Foreign direct investment flourished. In the first quarter, the Prime Minister urgently directed and urged the disbursement of public investment capital for key national projects to promote the leading role and activate social resources for development, creating new development space for the economy.

The economy recovered and developed stably, with inflation being controlled below the target level, clearly demonstrating the internal strength of the economy and demonstrating the level of success in the Government's management work to maintain macroeconomic stability, creating motivation to promote economic development. In particular, with deep and wide integration into the region and the world, Vietnam has signed and implemented many free trade agreements with more than 60 partners covering all continents; speed up the level of liberalization closer to Vietnam's market is on par with Singapore's. Our country's economy increasingly affirms and strengthens its important role in the supply chain diversification strategy of multinational corporations.

In addition, the dynamism in reforming the institutional environment, removing barriers in business and investment, creating an open and transparent environment is considered open and friendly by foreign investors. These strengths have turned Vietnam into an attractive market for foreign investors, and the most worthy investment destination.

With the economic growth results of the first quarter of this year, for the GDP growth rate of the whole year 2024 to reach 6% or more, the GDP growth rate of the remaining 3 quarters of the year must reach over 6.2%, this is the level increase is not easy to achieve.

With the results achieved, what difficulties will the target of controlling inflation at 4-4.5% face, sir?

In 2024, the National Assembly sets a target of controlling inflation at 4-4.5%, however this is not an easy goal in the context of inflationary pressure still being very large. Right from the beginning of the year, the State Bank implemented an expansionary monetary policy, lowered deposit and lending interest rates, and assigned the entire credit limit in 2024 with a system-wide growth orientation of 15% to create Favorable for credit institutions providing capital to the economy in the context of the USD increasing in value after the FED announced to keep interest rates unchanged within a range of 5.25%-5.5%.

In the term of domestic market, the average USD price index in the first quarter increased by 3.97% over the same period last year. Along with that, the FED delayed lowering operating interest rates, the interest rate difference between VND and USD on the interbank market continued to maintain a negative value and the demand for foreign currency used to import raw materials for production was quite large, creating pressure increases among VND/USD exchange rate.

Considering domestic and foreign factors causing price fluctuations in consumer goods and services in the remaining 3 quarters, the ability to control inflation in 2024 as set target is feasible.

What do you think needs to be done to successfully achieve the goal of economic growth and inflation control in 2024 and what will be the new growth driver for the Vietnamese economy this year?

Public investment is still an important driving force, promoting growth in the context of slow recovery of global and domestic aggregate demand. This year the whole country spent VND 657 trillion for public investment; if disbursement reaches 95%, it will only be equivalent to the amount of public investment capital implemented in 2023; if all VND 657 trillion is disbursed, GDP will increase by 0.3%. In particular, it is necessary to quickly allocate detailed state budget capital investment plans for 2024 in accordance with regulations without further delay; the detailed allocation of capital plans must ensure concentration, not spread out, consistent with implementation and disbursement capacity and in accordance with legal regulations on public investment.

In addition, the Government needs to issue solutions to enhance the competitiveness of the investment and business environment and develop infrastructure, focusing on improving the capacity of transport infrastructure and industrial infrastructure. Technology, information and logistics are synchronized. At the same time, implementing an export-based growth strategy plays an important role in the context of globalization and reshaping supply chains. Along with loosening monetary policy, the Government considers continuing to implement counter-cyclical fiscal policies to support businesses such as: extending or postponing payment deadlines for some taxes and fees for businesses; continue to remove barriers in the legal environment, create an open production and business environment, and create trust for the business sector.

Notably, the application of high technology, artificial intelligence, and green development is rapidly changing the world economic structure, leading to the arrangement of the global supply chain. This is also a great opportunity for a highly open economy like Vietnam. Therefore, in my opinion, the Government needs to seize the opportunity, create new driving forces for development, urgently build a strategy, with comprehensive and synchronous solutions, detailed and specific plans and implementation roadmaps to create and develop a number of industries and fields that will act as new growth engines of the economy such as: high technology, semiconductor chips, artificial intelligence; circular economy; recycled energy.

Vietnam has the fourth highest high-tech export potential in the world. Therefore, the Government needs to determine specifically what to do; focus on investing and developing which industries in the high-tech field; have appropriate solutions and effective implementation to turn potential into reality, becoming a powerhouse in high-tech export.

By Xuan Thao/Bui Diep

Related News

Quang Ninh Customs seeks solutions to promote import and export

Quang Ninh Customs seeks solutions to promote import and export

VCN - Quang Ninh Customs Department has made efforts to synchronously deploy solutions to accompany, support and resolve difficulties for businesses, contributing to improving import and export activities through the area.
One law amending seven financial laws: New driving force for economic growth

One law amending seven financial laws: New driving force for economic growth

VCN - Draft 1 of the Law amending 7 laws in the financial sector has been officially submitted and discussed at the 8th session of the 15th National Assembly. According to the Law-making program, the Law will be developed and promulgated following a simplified procedure and will be approved at this session. The simultaneous amendment of many provisions in the laws in the financial sector and their early approval demonstrate the determination and great efforts of the National Assembly, the Government, and the Ministry of Finance in creating a system of open and appropriate policies, promoting investment resources in the economy, thereby promoting economic growth in the new period.
Vietnam and UAE trade sees billion-dollar growth

Vietnam and UAE trade sees billion-dollar growth

VCN - According to General Department of Vietnam Customs by the end of September 2024, bilateral trade between Vietnam and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) reached nearly US$5 billion, an increase of more than US$1.4 billion over the same period last year.

Latest News

Prime Minister to attend 8th Greater Mekong Subregion Summit

Prime Minister to attend 8th Greater Mekong Subregion Summit

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh will lead a high-level delegation to the 8th Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Summit in Kunming, China’s Yunnan province, from November 5 to 8, at the invitation of Chinese Premier Li Qiang.
PM's visit a significant milestone in Vietnam – Qatar relations: Vietnamese FM

PM's visit a significant milestone in Vietnam – Qatar relations: Vietnamese FM

Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son has granted and interview to Qatar's Asian Telegraph Newspaper on the outcomes of Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh's visit to the Middle Eastern country from October 30 to November 1, as well as the cooperation prospects between the two countries.
Cuban top legislator concludes Vietnam visit

Cuban top legislator concludes Vietnam visit

Politburo member of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of the National Assembly of People’s Power Esteban Lazo Hernandez and the Cuban delegation successfully concluded their visit to Vietnam on November 3.
State President welcomes top legislator of Cuba

State President welcomes top legislator of Cuba

State President Luong Cuong met with Politburo member, President of the National Assembly of People’s Power, and President of the Council of State of Cuba Esteban Lazo Hernandez in Hanoi on November 2.

More News

Remove "bottlenecks" for economic breakthrough

Remove "bottlenecks" for economic breakthrough

VCN - In recent articles and speeches, General Secretary and President To Lam has repeatedly mentioned that the country is facing a new era of national growth. General Secretary and President To Lam also requested that the “bottlenecks” of the economy must be quickly removed, creating innovation and breakthroughs to complete the set tasks.
Int’l organisations, experts remain optimistic about Vietnam's economic outlook

Int’l organisations, experts remain optimistic about Vietnam's economic outlook

International organisations and experts have made positive comments on the Vietnamese economy, affirming their optimism about Vietnam's economic outlook.
Party chief clarifies major issues on new era of nation

Party chief clarifies major issues on new era of nation

Prof. Dr. To Lam, General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV)’s Central Committee on October 31 had a discussion with participants of a training course for officials planned for the 14th Party Central Committee, focusing on a number of issues on a new era – the era of the nation’s rise.
Vietnam, others call on US to immediately end embargo against Cuba

Vietnam, others call on US to immediately end embargo against Cuba

Vietnam calls on the US to immediately end its embargo against and remove Cuba from the list of state sponsors of terrorism, moving towards normalising relations between the two countries based on equality, mutual respect, and respect for each other's national sovereignty and political independence, stated Ambassador Dang Hoang Giang, Permanent Representative of Vietnam to the UN.
Vietnam

Vietnam's economy is recovering well

VCN - According to Dr. Nguyen Quoc Viet, Deputy Director of the Vietnam Institute for Economic and Policy Research (VEPR), by the end of the third quarter of this year, Vietnam's economy had recovered relatively well amid optimism about the overall growth of the world economy in late 2024 and 2025.
“Carbon footprint” reduction needed for sustainable tourism development: insiders

“Carbon footprint” reduction needed for sustainable tourism development: insiders

Vietnam's tourism industry is making efforts to reduce its “carbon footprint” in pursuit of sustainability, focusing on developing “green tours”, upgrading transport infrastructure, and developing renewable energy-used vehicles, said insiders.
Concerted efforts underway to prevent IUU fishing

Concerted efforts underway to prevent IUU fishing

Vietnam is making thorough preparations to welcome the European Commission (EC)'s inspection delegation with the hope of having its “yellow card” on illegal, unreported and unregulated (IUU) fishing against the fisheries sector removed, thus boosting seafood exports to the EU market.
Vietnam needs to diversify supply chains for sustainable growth: economists

Vietnam needs to diversify supply chains for sustainable growth: economists

The diversification of global supply chains is creating significant opportunities for Vietnam to engage more deeply in international production networks. However, along with market expansion prospects, there are challenges posed by trade tensions, the reality of climate change accompanied by natural disasters, and the requirements for carbon emissions reduction, according to experts.
PM arrives in Abu Dhabi, beginning official visit to UAE

PM arrives in Abu Dhabi, beginning official visit to UAE

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh, his spouse and a high-ranking delegation of Vietnam arrived at Zayed International Airport in Abu Dhabi at 11 am on October 27 (local time), starting their official visit to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) at the invitation of President Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan.
Read More

Your care

Latest Most read
Prime Minister to attend 8th Greater Mekong Subregion Summit

Prime Minister to attend 8th Greater Mekong Subregion Summit

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh will lead a high-level delegation to the 8th Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS) Summit in Kunming, China’s Yunnan province, from November 5 to 8, at the invitation of Chinese Premier Li Qiang.
PM's visit a significant milestone in Vietnam – Qatar relations: Vietnamese FM

PM's visit a significant milestone in Vietnam – Qatar relations: Vietnamese FM

Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son has granted and interview to Qatar's Asian Telegraph Newspaper on the outcomes of Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh's visit to the Middle Eastern country from October 30 to November 1, as well as the cooperation prospects between the two countries.
Cuban top legislator concludes Vietnam visit

Cuban top legislator concludes Vietnam visit

Politburo member of the Communist Party of Cuba and President of the National Assembly of People’s Power Esteban Lazo Hernandez and the Cuban delegation successfully concluded their visit to Vietnam on November 3.
State President welcomes top legislator of Cuba

State President welcomes top legislator of Cuba

State President Luong Cuong met with Politburo member, President of the National Assembly of People’s Power, and President of the Council of State of Cuba Esteban Lazo Hernandez in Hanoi on November 2.
Remove "bottlenecks" for economic breakthrough

Remove "bottlenecks" for economic breakthrough

General Secretary and President To Lam requested that the “bottlenecks” of the economy must be quickly removed, creating innovation and breakthroughs to complete the set tasks.
Mobile Version