Positive prospects for Vietnam’s stock market this year

The market's uptrend will continue to be consolidated in the first trading session of the Year of Cat.

Positive prospects for Vietnam’s stock market this year hinh anh 1

The HCM Stock Exchange (HoSE) in HCM City (Photo hsx.com)

The market's uptrend will continue to be consolidated in the first trading session of the Year of Cat.

The VN-Index, which tracks the performance of the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE), closed above the resistance area of 1,100 points, equivalent to 1,120 points of the VN30-Index, in the last trading week. Although cash flow has not improved much, supply pressure has not put great pressure on the market.

The market is expected to continue to be supported and gain points in the next trading sessions. Therefore, investors can still expect the market to expand the uptrend and exploit some short-term opportunities in stocks with positive accumulation background, said Viet Dragon Securities Co.

2022 was an eventful year for the Vietnamese stock market with many records set.

After a prosperous 2021, the VN-Index continued to stay at its historic peak for the first three months of 2022. However, the market then declined, putting itself on the list of the worst performers in the world. As of December 27, the benchmark had dropped 34.2% to 1,004.57 points, from the 1,520-point peak gained in April.

In some months in 2022, half a million trading accounts were opened. Foreign investors’ net purchases reached a record high. The liquidity of some shares at times reached hundreds of millions of units each trading session.

In November and December, the market witnessed the strongest recovery sessions in the world.

In 2023, economic growth will be somewhat slower than the previous year. Some pressure from tight monetary policy in the world will make money flow into the stock market more difficult, said La Giang Trung, CEO of Passion Investment Co.

“Two major factors affecting the stock market in 2023 are cash flow and the process of restructuring and shifting resources of the economy. If interest rates continue to rise sharply, the stock market will face difficulties, whereas when interest rates cool down, it can help the market grow,” he added.

“I am quite optimistic about the picture of the stock market in 2023. The first three to six months of the year will be a period of continued difficulties. But when the difficulties are over, the monetary policy will start to be loosened, which will open a new cycle for the stock market. Then the market will easily conquer new heights in the following years.”

|There are two scenarios for the stock market in 2023. Firstly, the bottom of the VN-Index this year will not be lower than the level of 873 points set in 2022, and the market will go up gradually.

Secondly, the VN-Index will look for a new bottom before recovering at the end of the year. The market may fall to the old bottom of about 780-800 points. This possibility becomes real if the US economy falls into a sharp recession in 2023.

With the forecast that monetary policy will be eased soon in the second quarter of 2023, the market can increase by 50% from the bottom, equivalent to 1,200 points at the end of this year. In 2023, there may be quite big fluctuations, but the general trend towards the end of the year is still positive, Trung said./.

Source: VNA
en.vietnamplus.vn

Related News

Vietnam kicked off the year with a strong start in trade, exceeding US$63 billion in the first month

Vietnam kicked off the year with a strong start in trade, exceeding US$63 billion in the first month

VCN - Data from the General Department of Vietnam Customs indicates a softening of both exports and imports in January 2025, relative to the same month in 2024.
Five solutions for developing stock market in 2025

Five solutions for developing stock market in 2025

VCN - On February 5, 2025, at the Gong-beating ceremony to open the stock trading at the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HOSE), Deputy Minister of Finance Nguyen Duc Chi introduced five solutions for comprehensive development of the stock market.
Vietnam, Korea Customs sign AEO MRA

Vietnam, Korea Customs sign AEO MRA

VCN- The Director General of the General Department of Vietnam Customs (GDVC), Mr Nguyen Van Tho, and the Commissioner of Korea Customs Service (KCS), Mr Ko Kwang Hyo, signed the Authorized Economic Operator Mutual Recognition Agreement (AEO MRA) on the afternoon of December 24, at the GDVC’s headquarters.
Vietnam

Vietnam's stock market to develop strongly and sustainably

VCN - This was emphasized by Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang at the Conference to review the work of 2024 and deploy the work of 2025 of the State Securities Commission (SSC) held on the afternoon of December 18.

Latest News

Personal income tax proposed for interest on some bank savings accounts

Personal income tax proposed for interest on some bank savings accounts

Instead of the current personal income tax exemption on interest from all individual bank savings accounts, the proposal would exempt tax only for low amounts of savings.
Banks set for aggressive bond issuance in 2025 to fuel growth

Banks set for aggressive bond issuance in 2025 to fuel growth

With a higher credit growth goal set by the SBV, banks are ramping up their efforts to secure funding through bond issuance.
Central bank cuts interest rate on bills for first time in 2025

Central bank cuts interest rate on bills for first time in 2025

According to data from the financial data provider Wichart, the SBV issued VNĐ19.6 trillion of bills in the past week. The interest rate on the bills decreased by 0.1 percentage point, from 4 per cent to 3.9 per cent on February 14.
Focusing on inspecting inventory of public assets at units with large and complex assets

Focusing on inspecting inventory of public assets at units with large and complex assets

VCN - According to Official Dispatch No. 1456/BTC-QLCS on inspecting the preparation and implementation of the General Inventory of Public Assets recently issued by the Ministry of Finance, the inspection of the inventory of public assets focuses on units with large asset scale and large number of inventory items, complex assets, and slow implementation progress.

More News

The government seeks approval for revised GDP, CPI targets

The government seeks approval for revised GDP, CPI targets

VCN - The Government submitted to the National Assembly for consideration and comments on adjusting the target for the growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) to 8% or more; the average growth rate of the consumer price index (CPI) to about 4.5-5%.
Fiscal, monetary policies support demand stimulation, price stabilisation

Fiscal, monetary policies support demand stimulation, price stabilisation

These efforts, in conjunction with the implementation of monetary policies and other macroeconomic policies, aim to solve difficulties for businesses and the public, stabilise the macroeconomy, control inflation, ensure the balance of the economy, promote economic growth, and secure social welfare and people’s livelihoods.
Vietnam secures VND 157 billion from state enterprise divestment in 2024

Vietnam secures VND 157 billion from state enterprise divestment in 2024

VCN - The Ministry of Finance reported that in 2024, the divestment of state capital in 5 enterprises (F1) generated VND 157 billion from an initial value of VND 145 billion
Vietnam gears up for potential inflation impact in 2025

Vietnam gears up for potential inflation impact in 2025

VCN - For sound price management and inflation control, Deputy Prime Minister Ho Duc Phoc directed officials to vigilantly track both domestic and international market dynamics. The goal is to proactively develop flexible strategies and solutions, enabling a swift response to any emerging challenges.
VN’s credit conditions in 2025 expected to be stable

VN’s credit conditions in 2025 expected to be stable

The credit conditions for Việt Nam will stabilise in 2025, after improving substantially over the past year, the rating agency VIS is forcasts.
State revenue in first month of the year equal to 14% of the estimate

State revenue in first month of the year equal to 14% of the estimate

VCN - According to the Ministry of Finance, in January - the first month of 2025, the total state budget revenue is estimated at VND275.9 trillion, equal to 14% of the estimate; meanwhile, the total state budget expenditure is estimated at VND134.4 trillion.
Securities 2025 expects a breakthrough in scale and quality

Securities 2025 expects a breakthrough in scale and quality

VCN – The positive factors inherent in the macro economy and the Vietnamese stock market will continue to create the foundation for the market to maintain stability, good liquidity, and growth in both scale and quality in the new year of At Ty 2025, Chairwoman of the State Securities Commission Vu Thi Chan Phuong said.
Cash reserves in stock accounts at six-quarter low amid margin rise

Cash reserves in stock accounts at six-quarter low amid margin rise

These funds are readily available in investor accounts, but remained undeployed as of the year-end.
Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang works with GDVC at the first working day after the Tet holiday

Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang works with GDVC at the first working day after the Tet holiday

VCN- On February 3, the first working day after the Tet holiday, Minister of Finance Nguyen Van Thang and the delegation visited and worked with the General Department of Vietnam Customs (GDVC).
Read More

Your care

Latest Most read
Personal income tax proposed for interest on some bank savings accounts

Personal income tax proposed for interest on some bank savings accounts

Instead of the current personal income tax exemption on interest from all individual bank savings accounts, the proposal would exempt tax only for low amounts of savings.
Banks set for aggressive bond issuance in 2025 to fuel growth

Banks set for aggressive bond issuance in 2025 to fuel growth

With a higher credit growth goal set by the SBV, banks are ramping up their efforts to secure funding through bond issuance.
Central bank cuts interest rate on bills for first time in 2025

Central bank cuts interest rate on bills for first time in 2025

According to data from the financial data provider Wichart, the SBV issued VNĐ19.6 trillion of bills in the past week. The interest rate on the bills decreased by 0.1 percentage point, from 4 per cent to 3.9 per cent on February 14.
Focusing on inspecting inventory of public assets at units with large and complex assets

Focusing on inspecting inventory of public assets at units with large and complex assets

VCN - According to Official Dispatch No. 1456/BTC-QLCS on inspecting the preparation and implementation of the General Inventory of Public Assets recently issued by the Ministry of Finance, the inspection of the inventory of public assets focuses on units
The government seeks approval for revised GDP, CPI targets

The government seeks approval for revised GDP, CPI targets

The Government submitted to the National Assembly for consideration and comments on adjusting the target for the growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) to 8% or more
Mobile Version